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Obama predictions, past and future

Yeah, politics and my legs beat New Orleans.

BTW, AFAICT the right is blaming the "mainstream media" for losing. "If only they'd reported on Benghazi". Or sometimes blaming the media for ensuring that Romney won the primaries.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Pres/Maps/Nov07.html#item-3 notes that the states which have voted Demoocratic 6 times in a row add up to 242 EVs. At this point a Democrat needs 28 EVs from somewhere else to win.
Wonkblog notes Democrats have won 5 of the last 6 Presidential popular votes. Demographics at work.

I don't have a proper schaedenfreude userpic.

***

2008
http://johncwright.livejournal.com/199898.html:

"Look for a return of the Great Depression, as the administration enacts all the policies exactly opposite of what sound economic principles would suggest. A one year market correction will expand into a four or ten year ongoing disaster." A mixed bag. Unemployment is something of an ongoing disaster, and Obama didn't entirely follow sound economic principles, but those are the opposite of what Wright thinks they are.

"Look for the emboldened terror-masters to purchase nuclear arms from a relieved and encouraged Iran, while a too rapid pull out from Iraq leads to a general massacre," False.

"Look for terrorist attacks to resume in the Continental United States. Nuclear attacks? I hope not, but I fear that weakness in a world of danger invites attack. " False.

"Look for national legislation to legitimize taxpayer-funded abortion on-demand, and all state and local restrictions and parental notification regulations will be federally pre-empted." False.

"Look for nationwide gay marriage." Working on it! But far from true, and little thanks to Obama.

"Look for a vehement renewal of the war against guns. Go buy one now, before January." False.

"Look for three or four of the most activist and leftist Justices in history to be appointed to the High Court," False, AFAIK.

"Look for the strangulation and death of Talk Radio under the fairness doctrine." False.

"Look for a rapid decline in the rule of law, and respect for legal procedures. Look for intimidation and open violence against political adversaries. " False.

2012
http://www.scifiwright.com/2012/11/mr-obama-wins-reelection/
"financial euthanasia" of the US; American funding of terror; betrayal of Israel; 50% unemployment (see comments, 20% was a typo); ruination of the health care system; mass closings of Catholic charities; the dollar ceasing to be a reserve currency; hypertaxation and hyperinflation. He refuses to make a bet on hyperinflation though, e.g. borrowing $10 now to repay $15 4 years from now.

I wonder if he's looked back at his old predictions with any sense of humility. I'd bet not. I'd suggest it, but it's bad for my time use to register to comment on his site.

***

2008
http://jordan179.livejournal.com/100836.html
"Raises in taxes, trade wars, diplomatic and foreign policy disasters, and serious reductions in personal freedoms. On the bright side, this should discredit the Democratic Left for a generation." All false, except perhaps for the reductions of freedom aka killing alleged American terrorists without trial -- but Jordan probably approves of that.

"No, because Obama's tax hikes and trade wars will make this impossible. America has voted herself a Second Great Depression." False. Any Second Great Depression happened before Obama took office; he's overseen slow recovery.

"With Obama in office, Russia has a free hand to reconquer the former USSR and continue on its self-destructive path of feeding the very Islamist terrorists who ultimately want to destroy her. This will probaby not lead to a general European war, but it may spell the end of NATO." False.

"Obama's election will re-energize the Terrorists and give them hope for victory. Obama has promised to pull out of Iraq within a year and a half. If the Iraqi regime isn't strong enough to survive by then, Iraq will fall to the Terrorists -- and then begins the real dying of the Iraqi people, at the hands of the victors" False.

"It is also possible that Iraq will win over the Terrorists -- and then be invaded by a nuclear-capable Iran" False. No invasion, and Iran still isn't nuclear-capable. Why Iran would invade was not mentioned; Iraq invaded last time...

"Of course not." [We won't be better off.] Unemployment is down, corporate profits are way up. I'd call this false, though I'm sure he'd weasel out.

2012
http://jordan179.livejournal.com/254816.html
Much more reticent, mostly "we Americans are going to at least in part be responsible for the now almost-inevitable major war now brewing in the area between Libya's Western border and India's Eastern border. Oh, the Muslim Terrorist States will be guilty of the war crimes, but we will be guilty of sitting idly by and watching it happen. A lot of Israeli and Indian civilians are going to die in the initial attacks." Adds disintegration of the health care system in the comments. Other people predict Iranian nukes over the coasts and Egypt pulling out of Camp David.

2008
http://btripp.livejournal.com/886823.html Gas chambers!

http://rhjunior.livejournal.com/431715.html "Gas lines, recession, unemployment, hostage crisis". Partial credit, if we count 'predicting' a recession and unemployment that were already happening.

See the comment count unavailable DW comments at http://mindstalk.dreamwidth.org/339770.html#comments

Comments

( 3 comments — Leave a comment )
fpb
Nov. 8th, 2012 07:22 am (UTC)
You seem to be missing mine. Let's see what you have to say. Or is it because I point out things that have already happened and can't be argued against? (Because, you know, I have my issues with Mr.Wright, but I fail to see the logic of taking his predictions - that is, his view of what is going to happen in the future - and label them all false. At the very least, you are giving an enormous amount of hostages to fortune, and you seem not to be aware that your knowledge of the future is no better than his.)

Edited at 2012-11-08 07:25 am (UTC)
mindstalk
Nov. 8th, 2012 04:37 pm (UTC)
He made predictions in 2008 for the next four years. Now it is four years later, so we can look back and evaluate them. You don't have predictions.

You do have a list of alleged Bill of Rights violations but I don't find it entirely accurate. I disagree with the contraceptive mandate being a HHS violation, and your "crippling fine" is odd; the actual fine is $100/day/employee. Obama hasn't done much about guns either way ("as has been argued" isn't going to cut it for Fast and Furious, another program with roots in the Bush administration BTW). As you say, plea bargains are a universal American thing.

And, of course, the key question Tuesday was not "is Obama perfect" but "would Mitt Romney be better?" Apart from maybe the contraceptive mandate from your POV, the answer is "hell no". (And Romneycare pays for birth control; I don't know if he signed it or it went via legislative veto override.)
fpb
Nov. 8th, 2012 05:02 pm (UTC)
So in the planet you live on having to pay $100 per employee per day would not cripple a company? I hope you keep your personal accounts in better shape than that.

Edited at 2012-11-08 05:02 pm (UTC)
( 3 comments — Leave a comment )

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